BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Middle Tennessee St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 120 Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength = 133.75
Conference: Conference USA Record: (1-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W 126.40 38 14 1B 112 (1-6) Murray St -2.07 19.03 26.07
2 09-12-2026 Away L * 129.35 26 28 1A 130 (3-3) Marshall 0.89 0.63 -2.89
3 09-19-2026 Home W * 144.29 27 20 1A 102 (2-4) Nevada 15.83 -4.43 -8.83
4 09-26-2026 Away L * * 134.28 13 23 1A 100 (5-2) Jacksonville St 5.82 -4.84 -15.82
5 10-03-2026 Away L * 102.02 0 55 1A 76 (2-4) Kansas -26.45 * -6.94 -28.55
6 10-13-2026 Home W * * 134.45 33 30 1A 124 (2-4) Delaware 5.99 -0.17 -2.99
7 10/20/2026 Away * * 1A 93 (3-3) Florida Int'l -11.63
8 10/28/2026 Home * * 1A 110 (1-5) Kennesaw St -0.75
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 128 (3-4) Western Kentucky 4.53
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 43 (5-1) Liberty -28.19
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 129 (1-5) Sam Houston St 0.67
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 115 (2-4) New Mexico St -0.26
Averages 128.46 22.8 28.3
Best game: 144.29 = 7 point win over Nevada
Worst game: 102.02 = 55 point loss to Kansas
Team stdev: 14.32